ACA Marketplace Premiums Set to Rise 13% as 2027 Enrollment Rules Tighten

November 1, 2026
ACA Marketplace Premiums Set to Rise 13% as 2027 Enrollment Rules Tighten
  • The Affordable Care Act marketplace enrollment period for 2027 coverage begins Nov. 1 in most states and runs through Jan. 15, with consumers facing higher premiums, fewer plan options and stricter enrollment requirements.

  • KFF analysis of new Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services data projects average marketplace insurance prices will rise 13% in 2027, driven mainly by higher healthcare costs and hospital market concentration; the No Surprises Act and wider access to GLP-1 drugs may also contribute.

  • People who do not qualify for subsidies are expected to feel the increases most sharply, and some may be unable to afford coverage; many have already moved to cheaper bronze plans.

  • Financial assistance, including premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions, is now restricted for many people who were previously eligible after Republicans opposed extending pandemic-era subsidies; new rules in 2027 will also limit tax credits for some lawfully present immigrants and could eventually leave another 1 million people uninsured.

  • The Trump administration says it is removing 760,000 marketplace enrollees it alleges were fraudulently enrolled or did not exist, claiming canceled subsidy payments will save $2.2 billion; JD Vance announced the plan with other administration officials.

  • About 19.2 million people were actively enrolled in ACA marketplace plans as of February, following enrollment growth during the pandemic when enhanced subsidies were available; sign-ups were 1.2 million lower after those subsidies ended.

  • KFF's Cynthia Cox said it is unclear how many people will leave ACA coverage in 2027, as higher premiums, immigration eligibility changes and anti-fraud efforts may all reduce enrollment and make the reasons for departures difficult to distinguish.

Summary based on 5 sources


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