Rising Oil Prices Test Global Resilience Amid Middle East Tensions
April 12, 2026
The piece draws a parallel between today’s oil shocks and the 1970s, noting that prices rise amid conflict in the Middle East but economies are more resilient now due to diversification and efficiency gains since the 1970s.
Overall, the story presents a nuanced view: the economy is more resilient than during the 1970s, yet oil remains a key driver of energy costs and vulnerability persists through policy and market dynamics.
Oil shocks today could be worse, but higher efficiency, diversification away from Middle Eastern oil, and strategic stockpiling mitigate the impact.
Key figures cited include Amy Myers Jaffe and Lutz Kilian, with data on oil’s share of energy and U.S. production growth driven by fracking.
The piece notes contemporary concerns like higher fuel costs hitting consumers, farmers, and small businesses, and mentions moves away from aggressive decarbonization policies under certain leaders.
The U.S. shifted from net imports to a net petroleum exporter by 2019, aided by fracking and expanded domestic production.
U.S. increased domestic oil and gas production via shale, de-emphasized oil for electricity, and raised efficiency standards since the 1970s, contributing to export status by 2019.
The shift to a net petroleum exporter was supported by fracking, reduced reliance on oil for electricity, and ongoing efficiency gains since the 1970s.
Other countries pursued measures like shorter workweeks in the UK, reduced nighttime lighting in France, aggressive energy efficiency laws in Japan, and investments in alternative energy and transport efficiency to cut reliance on Middle Eastern oil.
The article references specific events such as Iran-related attacks and U.S. involvement in Hormuz, and notes calls to release oil from the IEA and U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve to stabilize markets.
Oil remains central to energy use, especially transportation, and disruptions have global price effects; policy debates continue over resilience, including EV adoption and fuel-economy standards.
Recent U.S. policy moves under certain administrations—such as rolling back EV credits and easing fuel economy standards—could offset gains in resilience to oil shocks.
Summary based on 3 sources
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Sources

ABC News • Apr 12, 2026
Lessons learned in '70s have made US, world economies less vulnerable to oil shocks